Here are some thoughts on teams that I think have a good shot of being upset aka teams to avoid in your bracket pools:
Kansas - in my mind this the only #1 seed I think has a shot of not getting to the Sweet 16. Most people will disagree since they're the #1 overall seed, but that's even more of a reason to take UNLV in the 2nd round over them. This alone can put you in good position to win your pool.
Purdue - wouldn't really be considered an upset since their best player, Robbie Hummel, is out for the season. Regardless, this team isn't even close to a 4 seed without Hummel. Fill out your bracket accordingly.
Vanderbilt - another 4 seed I just have no faith in. They had a nice season and all but they showed they can't hang with the big boys like Kentucky. I'm also not sure they can hang with the mid-majors. I see them playing one, two games max.
Maryland - wow, I really don't like the 4 seeds I guess. They should roll Houston but they have a tough 2nd round matchup vs Michigan State. You don't mess with Lupe Izzo in March, that's just NCAA Tourney 101.
Duke - you knew it was coming. L'ville beats them in overtime in round 2. Book it.
New Mexico - great year for these guys, Steve Alford has them playing at a ridiculous level.....against mediocre competition. Watch out for Marquette to smoke 'em in the 2nd. Marquette has some serious staying power in this tournament, they are legit.
What you need to know when filling out your brackets is that historically, 4 and 5 seeds tend to get upset in the 1st round a pretty good amount. When filling out your bracket and strategically looking for upsets, remember this tidbit and also remember that the brackets are never "chalk", there are ALWAYS upsets, you need to take some chances and guess where they will happen and that is how you will win your pool. Want to know the best way to make your picks? Gut/Research/Favorite/Sleeper.
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Tuesday, March 16, 2010
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